I first became aware of the remarkable road safety benefits of reducing traffic speeds while researching a project for the NSW Roads and Traffic Authority in 1996: Speed Control Devices for Cars. Subsequent presentations have included:

Two key points that motorists should be aware of are:

1. Half of all fatal accidents occur at an impact speed of less than 55km/h. "Low speed" collisions can be deadly. This is due to Newton's physics and the frailty of the human body.

2. Every 5km/h above the speed limit doubles the risk of being involved in a casualty accident. In a 60 zone, travelling at 65km/h doubles the risk and travelling at 70km/h quadruples the risk.

For several years I have been calling for measures that assist motorists comply with speed limits (and, incidentally, avoid speeding tickets). GPS navigation technology is bringing that closer to reality.
'Speed Limits: How should they be determined? ' - an address by Prof. Patricia Waller, University of Michigan Transport Research Institute, to the ACRS Sydney Chapter, 6 September 2001
Big Brother? There is no surveillance used in the ISA system, which is under trial in several countries. GPS is simply used by the system WITHIN THE VEHICLE to determine its geographic location. A digital map then provides the driver with the posted speed limit. No one but the driver knows the location and speed of the vehicle (although, with some systems, trips can be recorded for later analysis).

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reaction time distribution
Andrew Humpherson really needs to do his homework before calling for the scrapping of speed cameras (MD 18 Oct). For at start he should read the transcripts of my evidence to the Parliamentary Staysafe Committee earlier that week.
The claim, by the British sociology researcher, that speed cameras had not reduced the road toll is questionable. Measuring the effectiveness of road safety measures from the overall road toll is notoriously difficult due to  the many influencing factors. The best way is to conduct in-depth crash investigations. Across several continents over many years those in-depth studies show that about half of all road fatalities occur an impact speed of just 55km/h or less. The faster a motorist is travelling the less chance they have of avoiding a crash and the higher the impact speed if they do crash. This double whammy effect means that travelling at just 5km/h over the speed limit doubles the risk of being involved in a serious or fatal crash (this was demonstated by road safety researchers at the University of Adelaide in a landmark study several years ago).
Other studies in the USA have shown that, in effect, every minute saved by travelling in excess of the speed limit results in a one minute loss in life expectancy across the community due to the increased risk of a fatal crash. The community clearly benefits from anti-speeding measures such as speed cameras.
My main message to the Staysafe Committee was that motorists have a false sense of safety at "normal" suburban speeds and there is the temptation to travel faster than the speed limit. Speeds that seem safe can suddenly turn out to be dangerous - ask just about anyone who has been involved in a serious crash. That is why I have suggested that motorists could do with assistance in keeping to the speed limit through smart technology in the car. Several trials of "Intelligent Speed Adaptation" in Europe and Australia are exceeding expectations in effectiveness, driver acceptance and environmental improvement. The systems that impress me most give the driver a simple, subtle (silent) indication that the speed limit is being exceeded such as vibrating the accelerator pedal. In a few years I expect that such systems will be a selling feature of GPS navigation units in cars.
Michael Paine
Automotive Safety Consultant
The Manly Daily often prints negative opinions about speed cameras but I rarely see any attempt to verify the questionable claims that they do not reduce the road toll. This is nonsense, as several lines of research have shown.

Early in April I gave a presentation on speed control at the World Health Organisation  Road Safety Day in Sydney (see link below for a copy of my presentation). Two key points that motorists should be aware of are:
1. Half of all fatal accidents occur at an impact speed of less than 55km/h. "Low speed" collisions can be deadly. This is due to Newton's physics and the frailty of the human body.
2. Every 5km/h above the speed limit doubles the risk of being involved in a casualty accident. In a 60 zone, travelling at 65km/h doubles the risk and travelling at 70km/h quadruples the risk.

For several years I have been calling for measures that assist motorists comply with speed limits (and, incidentaly, avoid speeding tickets). GPS navigation technology is bringing that closer to reality.

regards
Michael Paine


Despite his sarcasm Mr Ditmarsch has hit the nail on the head with his comments on my letter about speed camera. Careful research in South Australia has shown that travelling at 80km/h in a 60 zone increases the chances of being involved in a casualty crash by 32 times, compared with risk when travelling at 60km/h. This is illustrated in the attached graph, which is based on that research. Independent research in Sweden, the United Kingdom and the USA has come to the same conclusion.

Speed limits are normally set according to the road and traffic conditions, including the risk to vulnerable road users such as pedestrians (see www.austroads.com.au). Under these circumstances, the risk of being involved in a casualty crash while travelling at 110km/h on a freeway is roughly the same as the risk when travelling at 60km/h on a suburban road with a 60 speed limit. It is when the speed of the vehicle exceeds the posted speed limit that the risk climbs dramatically.

40km/h speed zones usually apply where there is an increased risk of hitting a pedestrian. At an impact speed of 60km/h there is almost a 100% chance that a pedestrian impact will be fatal. Also in half of all pedestrian fatalities the motorist has no chance to brake before the impact. So I agree with Mr Ditmarsch's calculation that travelling at 60km/h in a 40 zone would  increase the risk of a casualty crash by 32 times. In this case the most likely casualty is a pedestrian - not himself. The problem is that, in modern cars, 60km/h in these circumstances feels safe - but that is an illusion.

Michael Paine